India’s Services PMI Hits 10-Month High in June

INDIA’S SERVICES PMI RISES TO 10-MONTH HIGH IN JUNE

Why in the News?

  • PMI Surge: India’s Services PMI, also known as the business activity index, rose to 60.4 in June, up from 58.8 in May, marking a ten-month high according to the latest S&P Global PMI survey conducted in collaboration with HSBC India.
  • Domestic boost: Growth driven by a sharp rise in aggregate new business and new business orders, with export orders growing at a softer pace.
  • Four-year streak: The index has stayed above 50 for the thirty-seventh consecutive month, indicating continued expansion in the service sector.

India’s Services PMI Hits 10-Month High in June

Sectoral Performance and Economic Indicators

  • Broad-based growth: Most segments of the service sector expanded, with Finance and Insurance seeing the fastest growth.
  • Weakest link: Real Estate and Business Services recorded the slowest growth in June.
  • Job market: Employment growth and job creation rose, though at a slower pace than May, still above the long-run average.
  • Cost dynamics: While cost burdens increased, input cost inflation fell to the lowest in 10 months; firms passed on costs to consumers as price pressures eased.
  • Profit margins: Margins improved as output charge inflation outpaced input cost rise, especially in the consumer services category.

Significance and Future Outlook

  • Improved sentiment: Despite a slight dip in optimism, service providers remain confident about future demand.
  • Economic momentum: Rise in Manufacturing PMI alongside Services PMI suggests broad economic strength in private sector activity.
  • Policy implications: Sustained growth may influence RBI’s stance on inflation and monetary easing.

PURCHASING MANAGERS’ INDEX (PMI)

Definition: PMI is an economic indicator of business activity, based on monthly surveys of private sector firms.

Benchmark: A PMI above 50 indicates expansion, below 50 shows contraction.

Types: Includes Manufacturing PMI, Services PMI, and Composite PMI.

Compiled by: Published by S&P Global (formerly IHS Markit) for India in collaboration with HSBC India.

Importance: Used for economic forecasting, tracking business confidence, and guiding policy decisions.

Survey methodology: The S&P Global PMI employs a standardized approach to collect data on private sector activity across various industries.