Israel-Hezbollah Ceasefire: A Step Towards Regional Stability
Why in the news?
A ceasefire between Israel and Hezbollah began, echoing the 2006 agreement, aiming to reduce hostilities, with international oversight to ensure adherence and prevent simultaneous conflicts in Gaza and Lebanon.
Details of the Ceasefire:
- A ceasefire between Israel and Hezbollah in Lebanon commenced, resembling the framework of UN Security Council Resolution 1701 (2006).
- Hezbollah will withdraw to north of the Litani River, Israel to south of the Blue Line, with only the Lebanese Army permitted in the buffer zone.
- Both parties are given 60 days to withdraw to their designated positions.
- The ceasefire involves the United States and France in a supervisory role alongside Lebanon, Israel, and the United Nations Interim Force in Lebanon (UNIFIL).
Reasons for Israel’s Agreement
- Strategic Shift: Focus on neutralizing Iran’s influence and replenishing Israeli Defense Forces (IDF) resources.
- Front Separation: Aim to prevent simultaneous escalations with Hamas in Gaza and Hezbollah in Lebanon.
- Military Strain: Prolonged engagement in Lebanon risked IDF overstretch and increased Hezbollah’s domestic support.
- Hezbollah retained significant military capacity, with extensive rocket strikes continuing before the ceasefire, highlighting the risks of protracted conflict.
Regional Implications
- The ceasefire echoes the post-2006 scenario, with the Lebanese Army maintaining the buffer zone, but with stronger international oversight.
- Iran’s acquiescence to U.S. involvement reflects its strategic focus on sanctions relief and regional diplomacy.
- Israel can now concentrate on operations in Gaza and other Iranian proxies in Syria, Iraq, and Yemen.
- Stability remains uncertain, with Hezbollah retaining a strong socio-political presence and potential for renewed tensions.
Sources Referred:
PIB, The Hindu, Indian Express, Hindustan Times