“JOURNEY TO 2047: INDIA’S PATH TO BECOMING A DEVELOPED NATION”
Syllabus:
- GS-1- Post independent India and the progress, Vision for 2047 and the ways to achieve it
Focus :
- The article focuses on outlining a comprehensive roadmap for India’s journey to become a developed country by 2047.
- It emphasizes raising investment rates, fostering private sector growth, enhancing manufacturing, leveraging technology, and ensuring equitable distribution of growth benefits. Addressing job creation amid technological changes and maintaining sustainable development are also highlighted as crucial elements.
Source - IE
Introduction
- Context: India aims to become developed country by 2047, marking 100 years of independence.
- Current Status: As of 2024, India’s per capita income is $2,500, far below the threshold for developed countries ($13,845).
- Growth Requirement: To achieve developed status, India needs an average annual real growth rate of 6-7%.
Economic Growth and Investment
- Capital Formation: To achieve a 7% growth rate, India needs a Gross Fixed Capital Formation (GFCF) rate of 35% of GDP.
- Current Investment Rates: The recent increase in GFCF has been driven by government capital expenditures.
- Private Investment: Sustained growth requires a boost in private investment by 1-2 percentage points of GDP.
- Fiscal Challenges: High fiscal deficits limit the potential for continued government-led investment growth.
Industrial Policy and Export-Led Growth
- Historical Context: Post-World War II, East Asian countries achieved rapid progress through export-led growth strategies.
- China’s Example: China’s share in world exports grew from 0.6% in 1970 to 11.9% in 2022.
- India’s Performance: India’s share in world exports increased modestly from 0.6% in 1970 to 2.5% in 2022.
- Changing Global Trade: Protectionist trends in developed countries pose challenges for export-led growth.
- Efficiency in Exports: Despite challenges, exports remain crucial for testing and improving efficiency.
Multi-Dimensional Growth Strategy
- Diverse Focus: The strategy should include emphasis on exports, services, manufacturing, and agriculture.
- Identifying Sunrise Industries: Prioritize industries like food processing that are labor-intensive and have export potential.
- Efficient Import Substitution: Strive for cost-effective self-sufficiency without falling into inefficient import substitution.
- Sectoral Development: Promote sectors that ensure job creation and contribute to overall growth.
Technological Advancements and Employment
- Technological Impact: Advances in AI, Gen AI, and machine learning could reduce labor absorption per unit of output.
- Employment Elasticity: The elasticity of employment with respect to output is decreasing, raising concerns about jobless growth
- Jobless Growth Concerns: The shift from mechanical to digital automation raises concerns about employment.
- Skill Development: Embrace new technologies while investing in skill development to mitigate negative employment impacts.
- Balanced Approach: Develop a mix of sectors to ensure job growth alongside technological advancement.
Equity and Poverty Reduction
- Equity Importance: Equitable distribution of growth benefits is crucial for sustained development.
- Poverty Reduction: Extreme poverty in India has fallen below 3%, with recent data suggesting it has dropped to 2%.
- Income Inequality: Recent surveys show a marginal reduction in the Gini coefficient, indicating slight improvements in income distribution.
- Social Safety Nets: Programs like subsidized food grains remain critical for maintaining equity.
- Integrated Approach: Growth and equity should be pursued simultaneously, with an emphasis on health and education.
Studying India’s development through SDG:
1. No Poverty
2. Zero Hunger
3. Good Health and Well-being
4. Quality Education
5. Gender Equality
6. Clean Water and Sanitation
7. Affordable and Clean Energy
8. Decent Work and Economic Growth
9.Industry, Innovation, and Infrastructure
10. Reduced Inequality
11. Sustainable Cities and Communities
12. Responsible Consumption and Production
13. Climate Action
14. Life Below Water
15. Life on Land
16. Peace, Justice, and Strong Institutions E-Courts Mission Mode Project: Promotes the use of technology in the judicial system. Lokpal and Lokayuktas Act: Establishes anti-corruption ombudsman. Right to Information (RTI) Act: Promotes transparency and accountability in governance. 17. Partnerships for the Goals
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Conclusion
- Multi-Faceted Strategy: India’s development strategy must be multi-dimensional, focusing on raising investment rates, emphasizing manufacturing, services, and exports, absorbing new technologies, and promoting employment-friendly sectors.
- Job Creation Challenge: Ensuring adequate job creation in the face of technological advancements will be a significant challenge.
- Sustainable Growth: Achieving the goal of becoming a developed country by 2047 requires a balanced approach to growth and equity.
Source:The Hindu
Mains Practice Question :
GS-1
“Discuss the strategic roadmap proposed for India to become a developed country by 2047. Highlight the key focus areas such as raising investment rates, fostering private sector growth, leveraging technology, enhancing manufacturing and exports, and ensuring equitable distribution of growth benefits. Evaluate the challenges and opportunities in achieving these goals. “(250 words)