IN A HEATWAVE, HOW DO WE PROTECT OUR MOST VULNERABLE?
Relevance: GS 1 – Important Geophysical phenomena such as earthquakes, Tsunami, Volcanic activity, cyclone etc., geographical features and their location-changes in critical geographical features (including water-bodies and ice-caps) and in flora and fauna and the effects of such changes.
Why in the News?
- The year 2023 was globally recognized as the warmest on record, with a trend of increasing temperatures over the past several decades.
- In India, 2023 ranked as the second warmest year in 122 years of recorded history, following 2016 which held the record for the warmest year.
- The India Meteorological Department (IMD) predicts continued above-normal temperatures for most parts of India, particularly in the months of April, May, and June.
- Despite the theoretical preventability of heat-related deaths and illnesses, gauging their public health impact remains challenging, as evidenced by the spike in admissions and fatalities in the mentioned districts.
Regions Most Prone to Increased Heatwaves
- The states and regions at highest risk for heatwaves include Gujarat, Maharashtra, North Karnataka, Rajasthan, Madhya Pradesh, North Chhattisgarh, Odisha, and Andhra Pradesh.
- On April 6, parts of the Raichur district in Karnataka reported a high temperature of 45.2 degrees Celsius, resulting in seven individuals from various villages suffering from mild heat strokes.
Trends and Impact of Rising Heatwave Threats
- An EnviStats-IMD analysis highlighted an increasing trend in the average number of heatwave days annually:
- 90 days in 1990-99
- 94 days in 2000-09
- 139 days in 2010-2019
- 190 days in 2022
- 42 days in 2020
- Discrepancies exist in reported mortality statistics due to heatwaves:
- IMD reported 10,545 deaths between 2000 and 2020
- NDMA estimated 17,767 deaths
- NCRB reported 20,615 deaths
- The National Programme on Climate Change and Human Health (NPCCHH) has launched a reporting platform to track heat-related illnesses (HRIs).
Discrepancies in Reported Heat-Related Deaths
- breported 4 deaths in 2020.
- EnviStats-India documented 27 deaths in 2020 and none in 2021.
- Minister of Earth Sciences, in response to a Lok Sabha question, reported:
- 1,274 heat-related deaths in 2019
- 530 deaths in 2020
- 374 deaths in 2021.
- Key Aspects of Heat-Related Deaths
- Actual number of heat-related deaths is likely higher than reported figures.
- Peak in heat-related deaths occurred around 2015-16.
- A declining trend in heat-related deaths has been observed since the peak.
Growing Public Health Challenge: Heatwaves in India
- The number of states affected by heatwaves increased from 9 in 2015 to 23 in 2019.
- Average heatwave days recorded during this period increased nearly five-fold, from 7.4 days to 32.2 days.
- These trends highlight heatwaves as an escalating public health challenge in India.
Case Study: Heat-Related Deaths in Ballia and Deoria Districts, Uttar Pradesh
- District hospitals in Ballia and Deoria witnessed a significant spike in admissions and recorded 150 deaths in just five days during the week of June 15-22, 2023.
- While not all deaths were medically certified as heat-related, district officials confirmed that most deceased were above 60 years old and had co-morbidities that “may have aggravated due to the heatwave.”
- A state-level investigation determined that heatstroke could have been “contributory” but not “causative” to the deaths.
- Environmental analysts highlighted that temperatures reached about 45 degrees Celsius with a relative humidity of 30-50%, resulting in a “feels like” temperature exceeding 60 degrees Celsius, which is unquestionably life-threatening.
Challenges in Defining Heat-Related Mortality
- The key question often overlooked is: What defines heat-related mortality when exposure to heat is a significant threat to high-risk populations, leading to increased morbidity and mortality?
- While theoretically preventable, gauging the public health impact of extreme heat remains challenging, as reporting heat-related illnesses (HRIs) to public health authorities is not mandatory in most countries.
- Environmental health experts emphasize that non-biomedical external factors are frequently omitted from death certificates, leading to inaccuracies in cause-of-death reporting or estimations.
- An example of this is lightning strikes, where the direct cause might be a falling tree branch or a fire, but the indirect cause—the lightning strike triggering a series of events leading to mortality—is often not mentioned.
- The US National Association of Medical Examiners defines a “heat-related death” as a death in which “exposure to high ambient temperature either caused the death or significantly contributed to it.”
European Analyses on Heat-Related Deaths
- In Europe, a standard method to estimate heat-related deaths is recording and mapping excess deaths during specific periods.
- During the exceptionally hot summer of 2003, over 70,000 excess deaths were recorded across 16 European countries with a combined population of approximately 400 million.
- An epidemiological analysis of the Eurostat mortality database in July 2023 quantified the heat-related mortality burden during the summer of 2022, Europe’s hottest season to date:
- Estimated 61,672 heat-related deaths in 35 countries between May 30 and September 4.
- These countries have a combined population of 543 million, slightly less than half of India’s population.
- Countries around the Mediterranean Sea, including Italy, Greece, Spain, and Portugal, experienced the highest mortalities.
Public Health Preparedness and Risk Groups in India
- The Union Health Minister reviewed public health preparedness for managing heat-related illnesses (HRIs) on April 3.
- Updated Heat Action Plans are available in 23 states, and approximately 100 districts have initiated awareness campaigns.
- High-risk groups for heat-related illnesses include:
- Children, pregnant women, and the elderly
- Individuals with pre-existing conditions such as diabetes and heart disease
- Socially isolated individuals and the economically disadvantaged
- As the summer season intensifies, both state and civil society will need to be vigilant in monitoring and supporting these extra-vulnerable populations.
Mitigating Strategies for Heat-Related Issues
○ Mandate development plans for Tier 2 and Tier 3 cities to increase the density and area of urban forests. ○ Utilize natural landscapes such as trees, parks, and vegetation for cooling effects.
○ Promote cleaner cooking fuels like Biogas, Compressed Natural Gas, and Liquified Petroleum Gas to reduce indoor air pollution and urban heat. ○ Improve public transportation and discourage personal vehicle usage to lessen extreme heat waves.
○ Implement passive cooling techniques like natural ventilation, shading, and thermal insulation to reduce indoor temperatures and energy consumption. ○ Install high-albedo roofs and pavements in buildings to reflect heat.
○ Implement crop diversification, agroforestry, mulching, crop rotation, cover cropping, drip irrigation, and sprinkler systems.
○ Short-term Measures: Establish an effective early warning system integrated with public health services and local governments to provide timely and accurate information to at-risk populations. Ensure quick resource mobilization in response to heatwaves. ○ Long-term Measures: Implement structural infrastructure measures to help Indians adapt to extreme heat.
|
Mains question
Examine the challenges and implications of accurately assessing and mitigating heat-related deaths in India. Discuss the vulnerabilities and public health measures needed to address this growing concern. (250 words)