Globalisation Fades: Tariffs, Chips, And Strategic Shifts

Globalisation Fades: Tariffs, Chips, And Strategic Shifts

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The revival of high tariffs and industrial policies in the U.S., under Donald Trump and Joe Biden, marks the decline of hyper-globalisation rooted in Adam Smith and David Ricardo’s free trade theories, especially in the semiconductor sector.

From Classical Trade Theories to Globalisation

  • Scottish economist Adam Smith promoted “absolute advantage” — nations should produce goods they can make efficiently and trade for others.
  • David Ricardo expanded this into “comparative advantage,” proving trade is mutually beneficial even if one nation outperforms in both products.
  • These ideas fueled global trade and industrial specialisation, forming the backbone of modern globalisation since the 1990s.

Semiconductors: The New Face of Strategic Protectionism

  • Taiwan’s TSMC dominates global semiconductor production with a 56.7% share, making chips for AI, smartphones, and quantum computing.
  • The U.S. grew concerned as Taiwan’s chip dominance posed security risks, especially if geopolitical tensions with China escalated.
  • In response, the U.S. shifted from free-market faith to securing its chip supply chain via tariffs and subsidies.

Policy Shift: From Free Trade to Strategic Interests

  • The U.S. enacted the CHIPS and Science Act to boost domestic chip manufacturing.
  • TSMC is investing $65 billion in new Arizona plants, with U.S. subsidies backing the effort.
  • Global trade is now guided by strategic security over pure economic logic — signaling a clear break from Smith and Ricardo.