BALOCHISTAN UNREST: RISING INSURGENCY AND REGIONAL IMPLICATIONS

Why in the News?

  • On March 11, the Balochistan Liberation Army (BLA) hijacked a train with 400 passengers between Quetta and Sibi, demanding the release of imprisoned insurgents.
  • Pakistan’s military launched a 24-hour operation, resulting in 21 civilian casualties and losses in security forces.
  • Escalating insurgency: Pakistan’s forces faced heavy attacks in multiple regions of Balochistan following the incident.

BALOCHISTAN UNREST: RISING INSURGENCY AND REGIONAL IMPLICATIONS

Rising Insurgency and Baloch Discontent

  • Insurgents have enhanced operational capabilities, using social media tactics and coordinated attacks.
  • Major armed groups: BLA, Balochistan Liberation Front (BLF), Baloch Republican Guards (BRG), and Sindhudesh Revolutionary Army (SRA) have united under Baloch Raji Aajoi Sangar (BRAS).
  • Baloch grievances:
    • Political and socio-economic neglect since forced incorporation in 1948.
    • Resource exploitation (coal, gas, minerals) with minimal local benefits.
    • CPEC projects and demographic changes raise concerns of marginalization.

Regional and Geopolitical Implications

  • Pakistan faces internal instability: Weak governance and military-led administration hinder negotiations.
  • China’s concerns: CPEC projects targeted by insurgents; Beijing may deploy private security forces.
  • Limited external support:
    • India lacks geographical proximity to provide material assistance.
    • Iran fears spillover into its Sistan province and conducted airstrikes in Balochistan last year.
    • Taliban-Pakistan tensions rise as Tehrik-e-Taliban Pakistan (TTP) aligns with Baloch insurgents.
  • Pakistan’s military must reconsider strategies, decentralize power, and share revenues to prevent prolonged unrest.

About Balochistan

  • Location & Borders: Balochistan is Pakistan’s largest province, covering 44% of its landmass. It shares borders with Iran, Afghanistan, and the Arabian Sea, making it strategically important.
  • Terrain & Climate: The region has a rugged mountainous landscape, arid deserts, and coastal plains. It experiences an extreme climate, with hot summers and cold winters.
  • Natural Resources: Rich in coal, copper, gold, natural gas, and minerals, Balochistan contributes significantly to Pakistan’s economy, but local communities see little benefit.
  • Strategic Importance: Home to Gwadar Port, a key part of China-Pakistan Economic Corridor (CPEC), making it crucial for regional trade, but also a target for insurgent attacks.