• UGI USER
  • May 01, 2024
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SASCOF FORECASTS ABOVE-NORMAL RAIN FOR SOUTH ASIA THIS YEAR

Why in the news?

SASCOF predicts above-normal rainfall for South Asia in the upcoming monsoon season, citing favourable oceanic conditions and weakening El Niño.

source:dics

About the SASCOF Forecast Details:

  • The South Asian Climate Outlook Forum (SASCOF) predicts above-normal rainfall for South Asia during the upcoming southwest monsoon season.
  • Factors influencing the forecast include the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) entering a positive phase and weakening El Niño conditions.
  • The forecast suggests normal rainfall for Afghanistan, Sri Lanka, Nepal, and Bangladesh, with above-normal rainfall expected in certain regions.
  • La Niña conditions may develop later in the season, potentially affecting rainfall patterns in some areas.
  • South Asian countries, including India, Pakistan, and Bhutan, are preparing for potential impacts on agriculture and water resources.
What is The South Asian Climate Outlook Forum (SASCOF)?

  • SASCOF, initiated in 2010, involves meteorologists and hydrological experts from South Asian nations.
  • Participating countries include Afghanistan, Pakistan, India, Nepal, Bangladesh, Sri Lanka, Bhutan, Maldives, and Myanmar.
  • The consortium issues regional forecasts for the Southwest and Northeast monsoon seasons annually.

What is the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD)?

  • Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) is similar to El Nino, occurring in the Indian Ocean.
  • Positive IOD: Western Indian Ocean near Somalia is warmer than the eastern side.
  • Negative IOD: Western Indian Ocean is cooler.