1.29 BY 2050: IMPACT OF INDIA’S FALLING FERTILITY RATE:

Why in the news?

India’s declining fertility rate, projected at 1.29 by 2050, poses challenges like an ageing population and workforce shortages.

About the Declining Total Fertility Rate (TFR):

  • A study in The Lancet predicts India’s TFR to decrease to 1.29 by 2050, significantly below the replacement rate of 2.1.
  • India’s TFR has steadily decreased from 6.18 in 1950 to 1.91 in 2021, indicating a consistent trend over decades.
  • Factors contributing to this decline include historical population-control efforts post-Independence and the increasing trend of female literacy and workforce participation.
source:toi
About Total Fertility Rate (TFR):

●   Total Fertility Rate (TFR): Number of children a woman would have in her lifetime under current fertility rates.

●   Replacement-level fertility: TFR of 2.1 children per woman.

●   TFR below 2.1 leads to population decline.